Waa maxay sababta Isbeddelka Qiimaha Cudbiga Gudaha iyo Dibadda uu uga soo horjeedo - Warbixinta Toddobaadlaha ee Suuqa Cudbiga Shiinaha (Abriil 8-12, 2024)

I. Faaqidaadda suuqa ee usbuucan

Usbuucii la soo dhaafay, isbeddellada suufka gudaha iyo dibedda, ayaa ka soo horjeeda, qiimuhu wuxuu ku faafay taban ilaa togan, qiimaha suufka gudaha wax yar ayuu ka sarreeyaa shisheeye. I. Faaqidaadda suuqa ee usbuucan

Toddobaadkii la soo dhaafay, isbeddellada suufka gudaha iyo dibedda, ayaa ka soo horjeeda, qiimuhu wuxuu ku faafay taban ilaa togan, qiimaha suufka gudaha wax yar ayuu ka sarreeyaa shisheeye. Sababta ugu weyn ee arrintani keentay ayaa ah in suufka Maraykanka uu saameeyay dollarka xooggan iyo baahida liidata ee suuqyada dharka ee caalamiga ah, mugga qandaraaska ah iyo mugga maraakiibta oo hoos u dhacay, qiimihiisuna hoos ayuu u sii socdaa. Suuqa dharka gudaha waa mid diiran, qiimaha suufkuna waa mid deggan. suufka mustaqbalka ee Zhengzhou qiimaha celceliska heshiisyada heshiisyada waa 16,279 yuan/ton, ilaa 52 yuan/ton todobaadkii hore, korodh 0.3%. Qandaraaska mustaqbalka ee suufka ee New York wuxuu degay celcelis ahaan 85.19 senti halkii rodol, hoos 3.11 senti halkii rodol, ama 3.5%, marka loo eego usbuucii hore. Celceliska qiimaha gudaha 32 dunta suufka ah ee shanladu waa 23,158 yuan/ton, hoos 22 yuan/ton todobaadkii hore; Duubka caadiga ah ayaa 180 yuan/ton ka sarreeya dunta gudaha, ilaa 411 yuan/ton todobaadkii hore. Sababta ugu weyn ee arrintani keentay ayaa ah in suufka Maraykanka uu saameeyay dollarka xooggan iyo baahida liidata ee suuqyada dharka ee caalamiga ah, mugga qandaraaska ah iyo mugga maraakiibta oo hoos u dhacay, qiimihiisuna hoos ayuu u sii socdaa. Suuqa dharka gudaha waa mid diiran, qiimaha suufkuna waa mid deggan. suufka mustaqbalka ee Zhengzhou qiimaha celceliska heshiisyada heshiisyada waa 16,279 yuan/ton, ilaa 52 yuan/ton todobaadkii hore, korodh 0.3%. Qandaraaska mustaqbalka ee suufka ee New York wuxuu degay celcelis ahaan 85.19 senti halkii rodol, hoos 3.11 senti halkii rodol, ama 3.5%, marka loo eego usbuucii hore. Celceliska qiimaha gudaha 32 dunta suufka ah ee shanladu waa 23,158 yuan/ton, hoos 22 yuan/ton todobaadkii hore; Duubka caadiga ah ayaa 180 yuan/ton ka sarreeya dunta gudaha, ilaa 411 yuan/ton todobaadkii hore.

2, aragtida suuqa mustaqbalka

Qiimaha suufka caalamiga ah waa daciif, arrimaha suuqa mustaqbalkana waa isku xiran yihiin. Iyadoo shaqada iyo celceliska mushaharka ay sii wadaan inay koraan Maraykanka, heerka sare ee heerka sare ee dulsaarka kaydka Federaalka ayaa horseeday kharashka guryaha ee Maraykanka, halka kor u kaca qiimaha saliidda cayriin uu kordhay qiimaha nolosha, taasoo keentay baahida hoos u dhacda. dharka iyo dharka. Laga soo bilaabo xaaladdii ugu dambeysay ee in ka badan hal bil, sababtoo ah hoos u dhaca rajada heerka dulsaarka ee Maraykanka, kordhinta isku dhacyada juqraafiyeed ee Bariga Dhexe, lacagaha ayaa sii wadi doona inay ku qulqulaan biraha qaaliga ah iyo qaybaha tamarta, iyo isbeddelka wax soo saarka beeraha. waa daciif. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, wadamada ugu muhiimsan ee soo saara suufka ee waqooyiga hemisphere waxay galeen marxaladda beerashada gu'ga, iyo saameynta isbeddelka cimilada ee beeritaanka gu'ga ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah u noqon doonta diiradda suuqa, iyo suurtagalnimada mala-awaalka lama saari karo.

Soo kabashada dhaqaalaha Macro-dhaqaale, qiimaha suufka gudaha ama waxay ahaan doontaa mid si xooggan isu bedbeddesha. Sida laga soo xigtay Xafiiska Tirakoobka Qaranka, qiimaha macaamiisha ee dharka bishii Maarso ayaa kor u kacay 0.6% bishiiba bil kasta iyo 1.8% sanad kasta. Qiimaha alaabta ceeriin ee ay iibsadeen soo saarayaasha warshadaha ayaa kor u kacay 0.3% bishiiba iyo 0.5% sanad kasta, taas oo muujinaysa calaamadaha soo kabashada dhaqaalaha macro. Marka loo eego sahanka nidaamka la socodka suuqa suufka qaranka, goobta loogu talagalay in lagu beero suufka gudaha sanadka 2024 ayaa hoos u dhacay sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya, iyo mala-awaalka suuqa ee cilmi-nafsiga cimilada ayaa sii xoogeystay xilliga beeritaanka guga, waxaana la filayaa in suurtagalnimada isbeddel xooggan Qiimaha suufka gudaha mustaqbalka dhow wuu ka weyn yahay.